热带地理

热带地理 ›› 2017, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (4): 452-461.doi: 10.13284/j.cnki.rddl.002971

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

产业转移政策对地区产品结构演化的影响 ——基于广东省“双转移”政策的实证分析

杨佳意1,2，朱晟君1   

  1. （1．北京大学 城市与环境学院，北京 100871；2．北京大学-林肯研究院城市发展与土地政策研究中心，北京 100871）
  • 出版日期:2017-07-05 发布日期:2017-07-05
  • 通讯作者: 朱晟君（1984―），男，安徽淮北人，研究员，博导，博士，主要研究方向为产业升级、全球化与区域发展，（E-mail）zhus@pku.edu.cn。
  • 作者简介:杨佳意（1993―），女，广东深圳人，硕士研究生，主要研究方向为经济地理与区域规划，（E-mail）yangjiayi93@pku.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:
    国家杰出青年科学基金（41425001）

Effect of Industrial Transfer Policy on the Evolution of Regional Product Structure: Based on the “Double Transfer” Policy in Guangdong Province

YANG Jiayi1,2，ZHU Shengjun1   

  1. （1．College of Urban and Environmental Sciences，Peking University，Beijing 100871，China；2．Peking University-Lincoln Institute Center for Urban Development and Land Policy，Beijing 100871，China）
  • Online:2017-07-05 Published:2017-07-05

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摘要： 采用产品空间方法，基于2002―2011年广东省地级市的出口产品贸易数据，对广东省“双转移”政策与其出口产品结构演化路径的关系进行探讨。结果发现：产业转移政策能促进地区产品结构演化，对于转出政策影响的区域，政策有利于促使地区产品结构升级；对于转入政策影响的区域，政策对于产品结构演化具有一定促进作用，并且在政策对应本地相关产业关联密度较高的条件下，对促进本地产品演化的效果有增进作用。

关键词: 产业转移政策, 演化经济地理学, 双转移, 路径依赖, 技术关联, 广东省

Abstract: A diversified product structure is the force for regional economic growth, exerting profound economic impact on the sustainable development within a specific region. To promote the upgrading of regional production structure is to break through the unitary development model and create a new path. Based on the export trade data of Guangdong’s prefectural cities during 2002-2011, this paper discusses the relationship between Guangdong’s “Double Transfer” Policy and the evolution path of its export structure. The results show that the industrial transfer policy has achieved a certain effect on promoting the evolution of the regional product structure. For the regions that are affected by the transfer-out policy, the product structure there will experience a remarkable upgrading; for the regions that are affected by the transfer-in policy, there will be a push on the evolution of local products. Evidence also implies that the intensity and mechanism of the different factors in the transfer-in and transfer-out of industries varies. According to statistical results, factors connected to the transfer-in of industries such as the level of economic development and the labor cost of the region have little to do with the transfer-out of industries. Therefore, we have to discriminate between transfer-in and transfer-out and be aware of the similarities and differences when analyzing industrial transfer policy to develop effective policies. Industrial transfer policy can not only change the regional product structure, but also bridge the economic gaps between different regions. Considering the status quo of China, less developed and developed regions should jointly develop industrial transfer policies in order to change the current situation of path dependence and production structure lockup due to historical reasons, and to achieve “regional economic integration”. Underdeveloped regions can draw on the product paths from developed regions to seek new growth momentum, thereby closing the space differences across the regions; at the same time, the developed regions can spare the precious land resources by moving its path-dependent industries out, thereby upgrading its product structure. In the development of industrial transfer policies, the industries to be transferred in and out should be carefully decided based on existing local product structure. The calculation of regional technology density shows that the industries compatible with local technologies show greater advantages for transfer-in.

Key words: industrial transfer policy, evolutionary economic geography, double transfer, path dependence, relatedness, Guangdong Province