热带地理 ›› 2017, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (1): 10-18.doi: 10.13284/j.cnki.rddl.002908
王长建,张虹鸥,叶玉瑶,苏泳娴,陈伟莲
出版日期:
2017-01-05
发布日期:
2017-01-05
作者简介:
王长建(1986―),男,河南南阳人,助理研究员,博士,中国地理学会会员(S110010114M),主要从事能源地理与区域可持续发展研究,(E-mail)wwwangcj@126.com
基金资助:
WANG Changjian,ZHANG Hong’ou,YE Yuyao,SU Yongxian,CHEN Weilian
Online:
2017-01-05
Published:
2017-01-05
摘要: 通过构建“能源-经济-碳排放”混合型投入产出分析框架,利用扩展的结构分解模型,对广东省2002-2010年能源消费碳排放的影响因素进行结构分解分析。结果显示:1)广东省能源消费碳排放从2002年的5 820.55万t增长到2010年的12 097.91万t。2)碳排放影响因素的直接效应分析,经济规模和人口增长是广东省碳排放增长的主要驱动因素,同时生产结构在当前仍然是碳排放增长的正向驱动因素,但是生产结构对于广东省碳排放增长的贡献率逐步降低。碳排放强度是遏制广东省碳排放增长的最主要贡献因子,最终需求结构对于广东省碳排放总量变化由正效应转变为负效应,逐渐成为遏制碳排放增长的主要贡献因子。3)碳排放影响因素的间接效应分析,国际出口、进口贸易和省域间调进、调出贸易对于广东省能源消费碳排放的变化影响显著。同时,固定资本形成和城镇居民消费对于广东省碳排放的增长有较强影响。4)不同最终需求对产业部门碳排放增长的分析表明,出口贸易引起的碳排放增长主要集中在电子与机械类行业和纺织服装业;省域间调出引起的碳排放增长主要集中在典型的能源密集型行业;固定资本形成引起的碳排放增长主要集中在建筑业;城镇居民消费引起的碳排放增长主要集中在交通运输业。
王长建,张虹鸥,叶玉瑶,苏泳娴,陈伟莲. 广东省能源消费碳排放影响机理分析——基于IO-SDA模型 [J]. 热带地理, 2017, 37(1): 10-18.
WANG Changjian,ZHANG Hong’ou,YE Yuyao,SU Yongxian,CHEN Weilian. Analysis of Influencing Mechanism of Carbon Emissions in Guangdong Province Based on the IO-SDA Model[J]. TROPICAL GEOGRAPHY, 2017, 37(1): 10-18.
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