热带地理 ›› 2021, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (1): 12-24.doi: 10.13284/j.cnki.rddl.003315
所属专题: 新冠肺炎疫情
廖文悦1,b(), 孙美薇1,b, 余楚滢1,4, 邓应彬1,c(
), 李苗b, 杨骥1,c, 李勇1,c, 许剑辉1,c, 陈裕婵1,c, 严滢伟1,c
收稿日期:
2020-05-26
修回日期:
2021-01-11
出版日期:
2021-01-05
发布日期:
2021-02-19
通讯作者:
邓应彬
E-mail:wenyue_liao@163.com;yingbin@gdas.ac.cn
作者简介:
廖文悦(1997—),女,四川人,硕士研究生,主要从事遥感与地理信息系统研究,(E-mail)基金资助:
Wenyue Liao1,b(), Meiwei Sun1,b, Chuying Yu1,4, Yingbin Deng1,c(
), Miao Lib, Ji Yang1,c, Yong Li1,c, Jianhui Xu1,c, Yuchan Chen1,c, Yingwei Yan1,c
Received:
2020-05-26
Revised:
2021-01-11
Online:
2021-01-05
Published:
2021-02-19
Contact:
Yingbin Deng
E-mail:wenyue_liao@163.com;yingbin@gdas.ac.cn
摘要:
利用武汉市人口迁出规模指数与武汉迁入到湖北各市人口比例的乘积(MSI)及市内交通强度(TI),建立时间回归模型,分析各市的COVID-19每日新增病例;利用交通可达性及各市GDP比例,建立空间回归模型,分析湖北省各市COVID-19的万人累计感染率。结果显示:1)基于人口迁徙数据与各市每日新增COVID-19病例构建的回归模型具有显著性(Sig.=0.00),R2达0.715;从标准化系数结果可以看出,MSI(0.85)对各市每日新增病例的影响程度更高;2)累计万人感染率与医疗机构数、GDP具有显著的正相关关系,与床位数量不相关;3)基于交通路网、社会经济数据与湖北省各市的万人累计感染率构建的空间回归模型亦具有显著性,其标准化决定系数为0.672,各市GDP比例对模型的影响更大。
中图分类号:
廖文悦, 孙美薇, 余楚滢, 邓应彬, 李苗, 杨骥, 李勇, 许剑辉, 陈裕婵, 严滢伟. 基于多源数据的湖北省COVID-19疫情时空扩散影响因子分析[J]. 热带地理, 2021, 41(1): 12-24.
Wenyue Liao, Meiwei Sun, Chuying Yu, Yingbin Deng, Miao Li, Ji Yang, Yong Li, Jianhui Xu, Yuchan Chen, Yingwei Yan. Impact Factors of COVID-19 Epidemic Spread in Hubei Province Based on Multi-Source Data[J]. Tropical Geography, 2021, 41(1): 12-24.
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