热带地理 ›› 2019, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (1): 20-28.doi: 10.13284/j.cnki.rddl.003105
杜志威,张虹鸥,叶玉瑶,金利霞,王长建
收稿日期:
2018-11-15
修回日期:
2018-12-11
出版日期:
2019-01-05
发布日期:
2019-01-05
通讯作者:
张虹鸥(1962—),男,广东梅州人,研究员,主要研究方向为区域发展与城市规划,(E-mail)hozhang@gdas.ac.cn。
作者简介:
杜志威(1987—),男,广东广州人,博士,助理研究员,研究方向为城市与区域发展和规划,城市增长与收缩,(E-mail)chiwai_do@foxmail.com;
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目(41801122);广东省科学院实施创新驱动发展能力建设专项(2017GDASCX-0101,2018GDASCX-0901)
Du Zhiwei, Zhang Hong’ou, Ye Yuyao, Jin Lixia and Wang Changjian
Received:
2018-11-15
Revised:
2018-12-11
Online:
2019-01-05
Published:
2019-01-05
摘要:
基于人口变化的视角,分别对2000—2016年间广东省县级以上城市的常住人口与户籍人口进行动态观察,分析不同类型城市人口收缩的时间变化与空间分布,并运用定量回归方法探讨其影响因素。研究发现:普遍增长伴随着局部收缩是广东省城市人口变化的主要特征,常住人口收缩数量变化具有波动性和短期性的特征,而户籍人口的波动变化则相对较平稳;省域层面城市人口收缩呈现“核心地区增长—外围地区收缩”的总体分布规律,持续收缩和片段收缩的城市主要集中在省域边缘地带。此外,产业经济动力不足、区域发展存在的差异、地方财政力量薄弱以及本地人口持续外流是导致外围地区城市人口收缩的主要影响因素。
杜志威,张虹鸥,叶玉瑶,金利霞,王长建. 2000年以来广东省城市人口收缩的时空演变与影响因素[J]. 热带地理, 2019, 39(1): 20-28.
Du Zhiwei, Zhang Hong’ou, Ye Yuyao, Jin Lixia and Wang Changjian. Spatiotemporal Evolution and Influences of Urban Population Shrinkage in Guangdong Since 2000 [J]. TROPICAL GEOGRAPHY, 2019, 39(1): 20-28.
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